Offshore wind power will play a big role in achieving the EU’s 2040 climate targets
Net-zero emissions are the EU’s next big goal in climate action. Early indications are that – on 6 February - the European Commission will propose a reduction of around 90% already by 2040. Offshore wind energy will play a large role in achieving such a target. Last year, member states agreed to install 215 – 248 GW of offshore wind capacity by 2040, producing the equivalent of 1/3 of current EU electricity use.
The North Sea Energy Cooperation Group alone has set a target of 193 GW by 2040. This shows that connecting offshore wind is not a national affair anymore. Where almost all offshore wind farms so far were connected ‘radially’ to one country, an optimal energy system will now require multi-purpose interconnectors, effectively connecting wind farms to multiple countries and using those connections as an interconnector between the countries too.
Green hydrogen is rapidly becoming more important, and can be produced offshore as well
At the same time, the recent agreement on the revised Renewable Energy Directive (RED3) has solidified the demand for green hydrogen by stating that 60% of all hydrogen used in industry must be produced from renewable electricity by 2035. Green hydrogen, alongside biomethane, is also one of the candidates to fuel the dispatchable power generation needed to complement wind and solar in the future electricity mix. Electricity supply is generally expected to reach net-zero emissions well before the economy as a whole, and recently seven member states, including Germany and France, have agreed to aim for this by 2035.
This in turn leads to a need for large-scale hydrogen storage: the production of green hydrogen will be most attractive in periods with abundant electricity from wind and solar, and it will be needed on a continuous basis in industry and in periods with less wind and solar for dispatchable power. Such hydrogen storage can be done in salt caverns and empty gas fields; for both options, the North Sea has significant potential.
In integrating the large capacities of offshore wind in the Northwest European energy system, it is important to locate the electrolysers for green hydrogen production near the coast, to avoid having to build unnecessary onshore transmission lines. Recently, the option to even build them at sea has gained traction; while more costly than onshore electrolysis, the relatively high capacity and low cost of gas pipelines would save costs on the infrastructure to bring offshore energy to land, and less landing points would be required.
A coordinated, international offshore infrastructure development is urgently needed
A strongly interconnected European energy system is even more important now our generation mix is rapidly changing and variable renewables are becoming more important. Resources are not evenly spread, and periods with abundant wind and sun occur at different times in different locations, with an impact on both electricity and green hydrogen production. Combining new interconnections with connecting offshore wind requires international coordination in spatial planning, in support schemes, in technical standards, and in supply chains.
The Dutch government has recognised this, and has announced an Energy Infrastructure Plan North Sea, to be published in the first half of this year. At Common Futures, we’ve been working with stakeholders and consortium partners on the advice for the strategic vision behind this plan. Reasoning back from the goals for the 2030-2040 period, we found that targeted action with respect to the development of offshore electrolysis, the need for interconnections, the need for offshore hydrogen storage, and the development of offshore energy hubs is already needed in the next few years. The challenge is to do so in a coordinated and synergetic way with our neighbours. First steps have been taken, and this month, ENTSO-E will publish a shared plan for infrastructure in the North Sea.
Useful links:
- The North Seas Energy Cooperation: https://energy.ec.europa.eu/topics/infrastructure/high-level-groups/north-seas-energy-cooperation_en
- Offshore wind plans 2030-2050, the Netherlands: https://english.rvo.nl/topics/offshore-wind-energy/plans-2030-2050
- North Sea Wind Power Hub: https://northseawindpowerhub.eu/
Kees van der Leun has been an energy transition consultant for over 35 years, from joining the start-up Ecofys in 1986. In recent years, he has focussed on strategies for energy system integration, including work for Gas for Climate, the European Hydrogen Backbone, and North Sea Wind Power Hub. In 2021, he founded the new consultancy Common Futures together with Daan Peters. The growing team fully focusses on energy system optimisation. Projects have included work for the Biomethane Industrial Partnership, for international offshore wind developers, for equipment suppliers and for transmission system operators.
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Cet article est publié dans le cadre de la Semaine européenne de l'énergie renouvelable dont EconomieMatin et l'Energeek sont partenaires.
